Thursday, January 10, 2008

Zapatero seeks to dispel fears over economy

(FT)  - Spain's Socialist prime minister on Wednesday accused his conservative opponents of "unpatriotically" sowing alarm about the economy as he sought to dispel fears that the country was succumbing to the international credit squeeze ahead of a general election in early March.

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero said he was confident Spain would grow by "at least" 3 per cent in 2008, compared with 3.7 per cent in 2007 and that, with the end of the construction boom, growth would be "more balanced, more productive and more sustainable".
 
 
 

Wednesday, January 9, 2008

Rates yet to halt spending

(Fin24) -  Latest retail sales figures show consumers are   struggling to shell out money for big-ticket items as interest  rates begin to bite.


However, economists point out that retail sales growth is calculated off a high base and credit spending remains robust. 


The retail sales figures for October show that there was an 8.1% decline in sales of household furniture, appliances and equipment in  the three months from August to October compared with the same three months last year.


The Reserve Bank Quarterly Bulletin also says there was a decline year-on-year in real household expenditure on durable goods.  


The bulletin shows overall consumption spending cooled down to a fairly sedate 4.5% in the third quarter of last year from a robust 8.25% for the whole of 2006. 
 

S.Africa Dec new vehicle sales fall 15.1 pct yr/yr

(Reuters) - South African new vehicle sales dropped 15.1 percent year-on-year in December on higher interest rates and tighter credit laws, and should moderate further this year, the National Association of Automobile Manufacturers said on Wednesday.

NAAMSA said new vehicle sales fell to 41,813 units in December compared to the same month in 2006.

New sales incorporating Associated Motor Holdings were 44,926 vehicles in December compared to 54,874 over the same period the year before.

AMH is an importing and distributing company whose data is reported separately because it does not provide some of the vehicle sale breakdowns required by NAAMSA.

New vehicle sales during the whole of 2007 fell by 5.2 percent to 612,707 compared to 2006, after registering four successive record years previously, NAAMSA added.

"During 2007, the automotive industry was buffeted by a series of negative events (including) progressive increases in interest rates, the introduction of the National Credit Legislation ... which introduced stricter disciplines governing the granting of credit," it said.
 

Bear Stearns Turns to Insider Schwartz for New Course

(Bloomberg) -- In naming insider Alan Schwartz as its new chief executive officer, Bear Stearns Cos. is pursuing a different course than other firms that replaced their leaders after suffering subprime mortgage losses.

Schwartz, an executive with more than 30 years of experience at Bear Stearns, was the hand-picked choice of his predecessor, James ``Jimmy'' Cayne, 73, who remains as non-executive chairman. Other firms such as Merrill Lynch & Co. and Citigroup Inc. sent their CEOs packing and named replacements with extensive experience elsewhere.

The 57-year-old Schwartz is known for his collegial style, which he will need as Bear Stearns seeks to rebuild confidence in the firm, battered by subprime losses and a languishing stock price. Cayne, who stepped down yesterday, wasn't known for his personal skills.
 

Tuesday, January 8, 2008

Eskom may quit South Dunes

(Fin24) - Another large tranche of export entitlement through the Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) will soon become available for black empowered coal companies if Eskom Enterprises pulls out of the South Dunes Coal Terminal (SDCT).


Eskom Enterprises is a 50% shareholder in the SDCT which has a six million tonnes (Mt) entitlement to export through the RBCT in terms of its R1.2bn phase five expansion.


It is understood that Eskom is reviewing its participation in the SDCT and is likely to decide to opt out meaning its 3Mt entitlement will be up for grabs.


There should be no shortage of bidders for that entitlement. When the RBCT last year offered 9Mt/year of "subscription quota" coal in terms of the phase five expansion it received 26 applications for a total of 26.85Mt/year.


Of those, 18 applications totalling 19Mt met all the pre-qualification criteria but only eight companies were successful.
 

Gold Climbs to Record on Higher Oil Prices, Weakening Dollar

(Bloomberg) -- Gold rose to a record as higher crude oil and a weaker dollar spurred demand for the metal as a hedge against inflation.

Gold is off to its best start to the year since 1980. Oil rose to a record $100 last week, U.S. warships were confronted by Iranian boats over the weekend, and the dollar today fell against 15 of 16 major currencies.

``The U.S. dollar is weakening and oil has picked back up,'' said David Thurtell, a metals analyst at BNP Paribas SA in London. ``There are a lot of supportive reasons to buy and not many reasons to sell.''

Gold for immediate delivery rose as much as $17.84, or 2.1 percent, to $876 an ounce in London, exceeding the previous record of $868.89 set Jan. 3. The metal traded at $874.90 as of 12 p.m. in London. Gold for February delivery rose as much as $16.80, or 2 percent, to $878.80 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The metal last reached an all-time high in New York in 1980, when the dollar was weakening, oil prices were rising and the U.S. and Iran were at loggerheads. U.S. Navy warships were approached by Iranian ``fast boats'' in the Straits of Hormuz on Jan. 6, the U.S. Defense Department said yesterday. The straits are the sea route for about a quarter of the world's oil.
 

U.S. Stocks Climb for Second Day; Chevron, Bear Stearns Advance

(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks advanced the most in two weeks, led by miners and energy producers, after gold rose to a record and oil rebounded from its biggest decline in more than a month.

Chevron Corp., the second-largest U.S. energy company, and Schlumberger Ltd., the world's biggest oilfield-services provider, climbed. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. and Newmont Mining Corp. rallied as prices for precious and industrial metals increased. Bear Stearns Cos. gained after a person with knowledge of the matter said Chief Executive Officer James Cayne plans to resign.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index increased 5.45, or 0.4 percent, to 1,420.62 as of 9:39 a.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 24.22, or 0.2 percent, to 12,851.71. The Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 2.34, or 0.1 percent, to 2,501.8. About 13 shares climbed for every five that fell on the New York Stock Exchange.

Shares rose in Europe and Asia, led by miners and telephone companies. The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index of European shares added 0.9 percent for its first gain of the year.

``With oil where it is right now between $90 and $100, the oil companies do pretty darn well and they still look relatively inexpensive,'' Jeffrey Saut, who helps oversee about $190 billion as chief investment strategist at Raymond James & Associates, said in a Bloomberg Television interview.

U.S. equities also got a boost as the cost for banks to borrow in dollars and euros slid, signaling efforts by central banks to restore confidence in money markets is working. Investors will get further clues on the outlook for economic growth and interest rates from a private report today that may show pending home sales fell for the first time in three months.