Monday, January 14, 2008

Platinum miners soar on JSE

(Fin24) - A record platinum price hit on Monday underpinned a robust performance among platinum mining stocks on the JSE, giving the bourse an extra boost and helping it close 1.61% higher.


By the end of trade, the platinum mining index had advanced 6.97%, and resources collected 2.28%. The gold mining index was only a mere 0.09% in the black though. Banks and financials gained 1.84% and 1.44% respectively, and
industrials recovered 0.85%.


The rand was bid at R6.74 to the dollar from R6.79 when the JSE closed on Friday, while gold was quoted at $902.50 a troy ounce from $891.45/oz at the JSE's last close.


During the day, gold hit a record high of $914.40/oz, while platinum reached new highs of $1,590/oz.


"The JSE is up, but off its best levels. It has been quite an ironic day where the gold price hit an all time high, but there was a fluctuation in gold shares with a disappointing performance by gold shares relative to the huge gain in the gold price," said a Johannesburg-based equities trader.


He added that platinum shares "just exploded" as a result of the new record platinum price, and gains in heavyweights like Anglo American and BHP Billiton lifted the JSE higher.
 

Pelosi and Bernanke to discuss economy

(Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chairmen Ben Bernanke will meet on Monday with House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi to discuss how they can work together to boost the U.S. economy, a spokesman for the California Democrat said.

Falling home values, higher oil prices and a decline in the stock market have raised concerns that the United States could slip into recession this year.

Pelosi will meet one-on-one with Bernanke to get his views on what steps Congress should take, as well as to let him know what ideas Democratic leaders are considering, Pelosi spokesman Brendan Daly said on Saturday.

It will be a "mutual exchange," Daly said.

Bernanke, who earlier this week sent a strong signal that the Fed was prepared to cut interest rates further to spur growth, also will speak to House Democrats at their policy retreat later this month, Daly said.

Many prominent economists believe Congress should supplement any Federal Reserve action with a temporary fiscal stimulus package that could include tax breaks.

Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Henry Reid have asked to discuss the issue with President George W. Bush soon after he returns on Wednesday from a trip to the Middle East.
 

Gulf funds eyed for further U.S. bank bailouts

(Reuters) - The sovereign funds of Kuwait and other Gulf states were in the spotlight on Monday as Citigroup sought extra emergency funding and its fellow U.S. bank Merrill Lynch was said to want more cash too.

The moves came as one newspaper report raised questions over whether previously agreed Chinese funding for Citigroup may fall through.

Citigroup, the largest U.S. bank by assets, is looking for more funds to help it through losses from the subprime crisis after securing $7.5 billion from the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority in November, a source familiar with the situation told Reuters in New York.

Merrill is seeking about $4 billion from the Kuwait Investment Authority and others as it faces as much as $15 billion in credit market losses, The Financial Times newspaper reported.

The newspaper said a Merrill deal could be announced as soon as midweek, and that other investors could come from Europe.

A public relations official for the KIA, which manages funds for Kuwait, referred calls to Managing Director Bader al-Sa'ad, who could not be reached in his office or on his mobile phone.

In December, Merrill shored up its capital base by as much as $7.5 billion after selling a stake to Singapore state fund Temasek and asset manager Davis Selected Advisers.
 

Romney, McCain, Huckabee Shift to Economy in Michigan

(Bloomberg) -- Michigan's hard-hit economy occupies center stage as two favorite sons, Mitt Romney and John McCain, square off in a potentially decisive contest for the Republican presidential nomination, with an outsider, Mike Huckabee, gaining ground.

``It's a strong three-man race,'' said Scott Reed, a Republican strategist who isn't affiliated with any candidate. Michigan's primary tomorrow ``is a must-win for Romney, a need- to-win for McCain, and Huckabee just has to do well enough to go on to South Carolina,'' which votes Jan. 19.

Romney, who was born and raised in Michigan, is staking his candidacy on a victory in the state after his second-place showings in Iowa and New Hampshire this month. Even though Romney, 60, hasn't lived in the state for more than three decades, he benefits from high name recognition: His late father, George, was chairman of American Motors Corp., a three- term governor in the 1960s and a presidential candidate.

Michigan's highest-in-the-nation unemployment rate and ballooning home-mortgage foreclosures have forced the candidates to tout their economic remedies.

``When the nation begins to feel a hiccup, we all talk about a stimulus package, the need to put money in the hands of consumers and so forth,'' Romney said in an interview today. ``But when Michigan has been suffering for 10 years, people have sat by and been somewhat idle.''

This weekend, Romney and McCain sparred over who would best be able to address the state's economic woes. Romney, who promises to lower tax rates ``across the board'' to stimulate the economy, criticized McCain for saying some lost jobs would never come back.

`Going Away'

``Some say these are jobs that are just going away and you better get used to it,'' the former Massachusetts governor said at a campaign stop Jan. 12 outside a General Motors Corp. plant in Ypsilanti where the automaker has announced plans to fire 200 workers. ``Are we going to allow the entire domestic automotive manufacturing industry to disappear?''

After losing to Huckabee in Iowa and to McCain in New Hampshire, Romney is relying on a win in Michigan to stay competitive. Last week, his campaign canceled ad purchases in South Carolina and Florida and shifted the money to the Wolverine State.

``Romney's running as someone who really understands Michigan's problems,'' said Tom Rath, one of the candidate's top strategists.

2000 Race

McCain, 71, also is well-known in Michigan, having won the state's Republican primary in 2000, defeating then-Texas Governor George W. Bush.

The Arizona senator is counting on a repeat performance to give him momentum for subsequent primaries. Like Romney, McCain rushed from New Hampshire to Michigan, where he began touting an economic agenda that includes reining in federal spending, shoring up Social Security and Medicare, middle-class tax cuts and job training.

Michigan had a 7.4 percent unemployment rate in November, compared with a national rate of 4.7 percent, according to the U.S. Labor Department. It is also feeling the effects of the credit crisis: In 2007, Michigan accounted for 35,404 of the 588,882 U.S. home-mortgage foreclosures, according to foreclosure.com.

In Livonia on Jan. 12, McCain said training and technological improvements would lead to new, better-paying jobs.

`Bright Future'

``Michigan has a bright future; but it will not be reached attempting to recreate the past,'' McCain said.

Huckabee, 52, has also jumped into the economic debate. In an address at the Detroit Economic Club on Jan. 11, the former Arkansas governor laid out his proposals for a ``fair tax'' based on consumption that would replace federal income and payroll levies.

The state ``helped save America'' during World War II ``and now it may be time for America to help save Michigan,'' he said.

His low-budget campaign is also is running a TV ad that obliquely takes a shot at Romney's background as co-founder of Bain Capital LLC, a Boston buyout firm, suggesting he reminds Americans of ``the guy who laid them off.''

The ordained Baptist minister's appeal goes beyond his economic message. Lower and Western Michigan have blocs of evangelical voters who may turn out for him in large numbers. These voters account for up to 30 percent of the state's Republican electorate, and their support for Huckabee would hurt Romney more than McCain, said Reed, who managed Bob Dole's 1996 presidential campaign.
 

Merck, Schering-Plough's Vytorin Misses Study Goal

(Bloomberg) -- Merck & Co. and Schering-Plough Corp. said their combination cholesterol drug Vytorin did no better job of reducing the risk of stroke by clearing arteries of plaque buildup than did Zocor, an older generic medicine that forms part of Vytorin.

The study examined the carotid artery and found ``no statistically significant difference between treatment groups,'' the companies said in a release distributed today by Business Wire. If that artery is blocked, it can cut blood supply to the brain and cause a stroke. The 720-person trial, called Enhance, is looking at the highest possible dose of Vytorin for patients with a genetic predisposition to high cholesterol.

The drugs had similar safety profiles, the companies reported. The results were submitted to the American College of Cardiology for presentation to a meeting in March.
 

Friday, January 11, 2008

China, U.S. Make Plans for North Korea Collapse, Reports Say

(Bloomberg) -- China and the U.S.-South Korean alliance have begun planning for military intervention in case the Kim Jong Il regime in North Korea collapses, according to two newly published studies -- one of which foresees a race to occupy and control the impoverished communist country.

``If the international community did not react in a timely manner as internal order in North Korea deteriorated rapidly, China would seek to take the initiative in restoring stability,'' says a Jan. 3 report by Washington's Center for Strategic and International Studies and the U.S. Institute of Peace.

The report says its unnamed Chinese sources see North Korea as stable for the moment, ``but they worry that the potential for instability may grow.''

Meanwhile, U.S. and South Korean military planners were scheduled to complete by the end of 2007 a contingency plan for controlling the spread of weapons of mass destruction and dealing with refugees fleeing North Korea in the event of a collapse, according to an article in the January/February issue of the U.S. Army journal Military Review.

To beat China to the punch, joint planners should go farther and prepare for a South Korean occupation of the North, argues the author, Army Capt. Jonathan Stafford.

``A failure to prepare for this monumental task risks losing the Korean dream of reunification to Chinese hegemony,'' he writes. ``If South Korea cannot occupy the DPRK immediately and effectively, China will.''

DPRK stands for Democratic People's Republic of Korea, North Korea's official name.

Multilateral Approach

The authors of the CSIS-USIP report said Chinese specialists in North Korean affairs they interviewed hoped for a multilateral approach to North Korea rather than a contest for hegemony.

``In the event of instability in North Korea, China's priority will be to prevent refugees from flooding across the border,'' says the report, entitled ``Keeping an Eye on an Unruly Neighbor.'' If Chinese troops need to go into North Korea, ``China's strong preference is to receive formal authorization and coordinate closely with the United Nations,'' it says.

China's People's Liberation Army has contingency plans for at least three possible missions in the country, the report says. One is humanitarian: refugee assistance, or helping with the aftermath of a natural disaster. The second is policing the country to maintain order. The third is to secure North Korea's nuclear weapons and fissile material, or clean up nuclear contamination in the event of a strike -- the report does not specify by whom -- on North Korean nuclear facilities near the border.

China's Reaction

A Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman on Jan. 8 denied knowledge of the plan, according to Agence France Press. ``I have never heard of nor seen the so-called plan mentioned in the report,'' AFP cited the spokeswoman saying.

Regarding nuclear-related contingencies, ``some Chinese experts say explicitly that they favor holding a discussion on stability in North Korea in official channels with the United States,'' the report says.

China is the organizer and host of ongoing talks with the U.S., North and South Korea, Japan and Russia on denuclearizing the North.

Stafford in his article argues that ``the Chinese have been busy laying the political, diplomatic and historical foundations for an occupation and perhaps even an annexation of North Korea.''
 

Gold Futures Rise to Record $900.10 on Interest-Rate Outlook

(Bloomberg) -- Gold futures rose to a record $900.10 an ounce on speculation the Federal Reserve will further cut U.S. interest rates, weakening the dollar and boosting the investment appeal of the precious metal. Silver also climbed.

Interest-rate futures show a 68 percent chance the Fed will lower borrowing costs 0.5 percentage point to 3.75 percent by Jan. 30 after Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke suggested cuts may be necessary to guard against an economic slowdown. Gold rose 31 percent last year when the Fed slashed rates 1 percentage point, sending the dollar 9.5 percent lower against the euro.

``If the Fed drops rates, a lower dollar will propel gold higher,'' said Leonard Kaplan, president of Prospector Asset Management in Chicago. ``Everything we buy is going to be more expensive. Any raw material will go through the roof. The smart people see inflation.''

Gold futures for February delivery rose $4.70, or 0.5 percent, to $898.30 an ounce at 11:55 a.m. on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The price reached the record at 10:40 a.m. The record level was confirmed by Nymex.

Silver futures for March delivery rose 2 cents, or 0.1 percent, to $16.295 an ounce. The price earlier reached $16.415, the highest since January 1981. The metal gained 15 percent last year.

HSBC Securities USA Inc. and Morgan Stanley predicted the Fed will reduce its benchmark rate by half a percentage point this month after Bernanke's comments, up from their previous forecast of a quarter point.